Tom Dumoulin wins the Giro d’Italia

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‘Fino alla fine’ – Right to the very end. When race director Mauro Vegni designed the route of the 100th edition of the Giro d’Italia, he perhaps hoped for a close race and thrilling finale in Milan. But there has never been a similar finish to the corsa rosa, with five riders fighting for the final three podium places and all of them with a realistic chance of winning the maglia rosa if their rivals suffer a bad day, mess up a corner or even crash.

Every second counted on the 29.3km time trial from the Monza motor racing circuit to the Piazza Duomo in the heart of Milan. It will be a race to the very end.

Nairo Quintana (Movistar) started last in Monza and race in the pink jersey but leads Tom Dumoulin (Team Sunweb) by just 53 seconds. On paper and considering their previous time trial performances and ability against the clock, it was not enough for the Colombian to hold off the big man from Maastricht.

Quintana fought for a place on the podium because Vincenzo Nibali (Bahrain-Merida) is only 39 seconds down and Thibaut Pinot (FDJ) is only 43 seconds back. Ilnur Zakarin (Katusha-Alpecin) could not be forgotten. He was 1:15 behind but an excellent time trialist and so a threat to everyone except Dumoulin. The final podium places in Milan were decided by a handful of seconds.

The time trial was perfect for strong, powerful riders like Dumoulin and so a nightmare for the pure climbers such as Quintana. While today’s Formula 1 Grand Prix races on the streets of Monte Carlo, the final stage of the Giro d’Italia started in the finishing straight of the Monza circuit, with riders covering a 5.6km before heading south in a direct line towards Milan.

The first time check was taken after 8.8km near Villa Reale, and every rider and team was hoping for a fast start and good news. It was the first indication of the final result. The second time check was after 17.4km in Sesto San Giovanni on the outskirts of Milan. The route then headed into the city via Porta Venezia and Corso Venezia, with a final right, left and right turns leading into the spectacular Piazza Duomo.

Vasil Kiryienka (Team Sky) could perhaps win the stage, but all eyes were on the final battle. Dumoulin was the logical favourite to win but for that reason was under the most pressure. He had to hold his nerve, ride fast and hope he has enough energy and speed in his legs to pull back time on Quintana. Another bout of stomach problems or simple rookie errors could cost him dearly, but he kept his cool.

Ten of Dumoulin’s 15 career victories have come in time trials, and he has important stage victories in all three Grand Tours. Last year, he won the opening time trial in the Netherlands to pull on the first pink jersey but was only fourth in the opening time trial of the 2015 Tour de France in Utrecht.

It has been calculated that Dumoulin needed to gain at least 1.8 seconds per kilometre to overhaul Quintana. He beat the Colombian by 2:53 – well over three seconds a kilometre in the Sagrantino time trial but he admits that the residual fatigue of an entire Giro and its punishing last week must also be factored into the equation.

Quintana has promised to fight to the very end and hoped to produce the time trial of his life. Yet he has never looked at his very best in this year’s race, perhaps coming in under prepared as he tried to juggle the difficult task of preparing for the Giro-Tour double.

Nibali started the time trial second overall, 39 seconds behind Quintana. He is the shark of Messina and could perhaps beat the Colombian but knows he was, in turn, beaten by Dumoulin.

Pinot had a difficult stage 10 time trial but was excelled in the final week, winning the stage to Asiago after an aggressive ride. He uses his mental strength to fight for a place on the podium and went close to overall victory if Dumoulin messes up.

The Giro d’Italia has been turned upside down three f times in the previous 99 editions.

In 1976 Felice Gimondi managed to pull back 44 seconds on Joan De Muynck and so win his third Giro d’Italia, just as Nibali is hoping to do today.

In 1984 Francesco Moser made arguably the biggest comeback in the history of the Giro d’Italia when he beat Laurent Fignon by 2:24 in the 42km Verona time trial to pull back the 1:21 he had lost in the Dolomites. He finally won the Giro d’Italia after 11 attempts. Moser used front and back disc wheels and aero bars, with allegations that television helicopters helped push the Italian along but slow Fignon.

Dumoulin and Team Sunweb were concerned about the helicopters, race motorbikes and any other outside factors that could affect the race.

Dumoulin won by more than 31 seconds, even though fellow Dutchman Jos van Emden won the time-trial, and he is crowned as the first ever Dutch winner of the Giro d’Italia.

History was on Dumoulin’s side if he can hold his nerve.